Could Save Your Power Company
Darrell Proctor | Source: Power | Posted 03/15/2025

The ERCOT region, specifically, has massive wind and solar capacity. Net-demand forecasts (total demand minus renewable generation) help predict when conventional generation will be needed to fill gaps from variable renewable resources. Market participants also use forecasts as a risk management tool.
AI generated summary
Net-demand energy forecasts are essential for participants in competitive electricity markets like ERCOT, as they help predict supply-demand imbalances and optimize bidding strategies. Accurate forecasting is crucial for asset optimization, allowing power generators to commit resources effectively and avoid financial losses. With Texas's high renewable energy capacity, net-demand forecasts assist in determining when conventional generation is needed to compensate for variable renewable resources. Additionally, these forecasts serve as a risk management tool, enabling market participants to hedge against volatile conditions.
The importance of accurate forecasting was highlighted during Winter Storm Uri, which caused ERCOT wholesale prices to soar to $9,000/MWh, leading to severe financial repercussions for many retail electricity providers. Companies like Amperon, which utilize AI for forecasting, were able to provide early warnings to their clients, allowing them to secure power at significantly lower rates before the price spike. Despite regulatory changes following the storm, the need for precise forecasting remains critical as the energy market evolves, particularly with the increasing integration of renewable resources.
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Source Link: https://www.powermag.com/ai-powered-energy-forecasting-how-accurate-predictions-could-save-your-power-company/
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